Monday, January 5, 2015

The Raiders Will Eternally Suck

I never thought I would see the day when Mike Shanahan stepped foot in Raiders HQ ever again.  Or maybe that head coaching interview took place over the phone.  Or maybe Reggie McKenzie felt comfortable interviewing him through Skype.  You never know (although that seems unlikely).

Why is Reggie McKenzie even still in the building to begin with?  He has systematically botched everything in his path. Despite being given a long leash to do whatever needs to be done or within his ability he has done nothing at all to improve the Raiders. It is still a shitty franchise from the inside out. Mark Davis has proven me wrong and Mike Silver right.  I thought Mark would help bring positive change.  All of that slipped away piece by piece.  Haven't heard or read anything from Mike Silver in a while but he did say at the time Mark would crash and burn. It's been a slow burn but the ship has been going under for some time, well before Mark even took over the job.  Mark doesn't have the first clue what to do about it and the people he turned to for guidance have made a mess of that too.

The big reality staring us in the face is no one that matters cares even a little bit that the Raiders are fading into non-existence. It's been happening before our eyes for over almost 15 years but like any immovable object such as the NFL with its bankroll of billions keeping it afloat, the ship takes a long time to sink.  The NFL is allowing the Raiders to die a lonely, dishonorable death.  Call it the revenge of Pete Rozelle.

No, the team will not get better with a new coach, more cap money, a new this or a new that. “If only…”, yea right. There's no new stadium and there never was one.  There is only a slow death until Mark gives up the ghost and sells the franchise.  It could be another 10 years of futility or another 20 until the joint powers that run the place condemn Oakland Coliseum.  It will happen eventually and the Raiders meanwhile will never have a winning season again.  Call it the Davis curse or just plain ineptitude.  Whatever it is holding the franchise back has made it rotten to the core.  No players care beyond the paycheck. Fresh faced rookies soon learn they have signed on to a doomed ship.

St Louis nonchalantly declared they will be relocating to LA and building a new stadium within 2 years.  Look how easy that was.  If anyone gave a shit about the Raiders, inside the NFL or outside, that would have already been a no brainer for Oakland to relocate.  It was never going to happen.

So pick another team to worship, overlay the tattoos, find something else to do other than proclaim RNFL. It all means nothing. Your misplaced faith will never be rewarded.

Monday, October 6, 2014

Chucky's Not Coming Back Part II

It is hard to believe it has been 5 years since I wrote Chucky's Not Coming Back Part I. That article makes the case Jon Gruden would never work for Al Davis again.

Now, Jon Gruden would not work for Mark Davis because the guy does not know what he is doing.  Mark Davis knows that too.  There's no smooth talking Jon Gruden.  Chucky is one of the most knowledgeable NFL analysts in the sport right now.  He's not about to head into a rebuilding project of this kind of magnitude.  That kind of heavy lifting is not his style.  Gruden would likely return to coaching with A) a really big salary and B) for a team in reasonably decent shape personnel-wise.  The Raiders may be able to offer A but not B.

So it's simply not going to happen no matter how many times you are compelled you to say it on Facebook or wherever else you post.

You have no idea what a pro football coach has to go through to make a team successful.  It literally can sap the life out of you.  So any coach who is smart and has the experience John Gruden does will choose his jobs carefully.  He has no loyalty to the Raiders driving him.  It's all about the conditions of employment.  Shitty stadium, shitty location, shitty players, shitty ownership, shitty franchise.  You think unfinished business means more to Gruden than the almighty dollar and working conditions?  Keep dreaming.

Also, let it sink in. Rich Gannon will never be a coach.  He too makes excellent money for far less aggravation in broadcasting.  Besides he has already said he will never be a coach (due to his temper).

Thank Odin, Mark Davis is bright enough not to consider Mike Holmgren.  His days are over.  Thanks but no thanks.

The only storyline worth watching right now is Jim Harbaugh. I thought he would be the guy the first time around.

Sunday, September 7, 2014

Schaub Would Have Been a Better Choice Against the Jets

Derek Carr should not have started against the Jets today.  I know it’s too easy to say now that the opening game went the way it did and shove it out there as some kind of magical analysis but it’s true.  The rookie didn’t play poorly but he was unable to be the catalyst for clutch plays.  If you look up the definition of QB you will see a lot of traits.  Leader, big arm, etc.  The one intangible you have to have is being able to get it done.  We see flashes of that with Carr and we all want to see more of what made him so great at Fresno State but the reality is you want a veteran QB in these situations.

What situation is that?  Leading drives against a mediocre, BEATABLE Jets team.

The Jets did everything they could to beat themselves today.  Bad penalties, an interception in their end of the field.  They didn’t play horrible overall.  They had a few big plays on offense and defense that determined the outcome but any way you look at it they played barely well enough to win.  This was a game the Raiders could have taken.  I can’t believe I’m saying what they needed was Matt Schaub but that just might have been the right call.

How can I say this to you with a straight face? Did you see what Derek Anderson did today against Tampa Bay?  Yes, that Derek Anderson.  If you recall, Anderson rose to the top of the mountain with excellent seasons, earning All-Pro.  Then he went rock bottom.  Sound familiar?  It should because that is where Schaub is now.  There is nothing Derek Anderson can do that Matt Schaub can’t.   Anderson made key throws as a Carolina Panther to beat the Bucs today filling in for injured Cam Newton.

That's how I can say with a straight face we needed Matt Schaub on the field today.

By now we all know Dennis Allen is not the right head coach to lead the franchise.  That is a given.  Regardless of what you think of the play calling and offensive coordinator Greg Olson, the pass rush, defensive coordinator Jason Tarver, they do the best they can.  It’s just not good enough.  We already know this.  What a good game planner needs to do however is strategize about giving their team the best edge.  This coaching staff didn’t get it right today.  Obviously they thought Carr beating up on a Seahawks team in the final preseason game (when nothing mattered and they let the game slide) warranted giving Carr the start.  Many Raiders fans agreed with this decision but ultimately, a veteran QB would have been better suited to make the clutch throws on opening day.

Think about it.  They are already paying the Schaub the bucks to be a leader.  He already made the team.  He NEEDS a confidence booster.  What would you have to lose other than the guy doing a face plant and then having to go with Carr regardless in the second half?  This coaching staff did not look at the intangibles Schaub brings or maybe his tendonitis is really that bad where he couldn’t go (though if that were the case he would be on IR which he is not.  He is listed as probable.).

It is just one game but now we are in familiar territory of facing snowballing losses if the team loses confidence.  Play Schaub and let’s see if he has some key throws left in him.  Let Carr develop but not throw him to the wolves so soon.  And if both guys aren’t an answer we’ll be seeing Matt McGloin again real soon.

Tuesday, June 10, 2014

Derek Carr to start as a rookie - Why are we having this discussion?

Is it news to anyone that bullshit has legs?  It seems everyone's favorite topic these days is Derek Carr's chances of starting as a rookie.  Can he?  Sure.  Will he?  Probably not.  It would be very irresponsible of the Raiders organization to throw the kid into action.  The reasons why are numerous.  The first is, there is no pressing need to do so.  While this is a make or break year for the Dennis Allen era and quite possibly the reign of Reggie McKenzie as GM, such a move would make no sense.

Geniuses that this Raiders brain trust is, they brought in a struggling Matt Schaub at a nice 10 mil to lead the offense. Whether you like him or tolerate him or hate the idea, Schaub is the starter based on his years of experience in the league and the size of his contract.  Carr is an excellent prospect.  You don't throw for 5000+ yards in college and not come into the NFL with high expectations.  It's just too soon to depend on that potential.  That's how rookies get destroyed.  Too much too soon. The only way Carr gets playing time is if the Raiders coaching staff is up against a wall and throws caution to the wind.

My theory runs contrary to what pundits (people who get paid to theorize) are saying. NFL pundits say to look for Carr to assume the starting job by October or November.  It's entirely possible but consider this - what happened to the promise and confidence the coaching staff once had in Matt McGloin?  Granted, the NFL is take no prisoners.  You can be a hero one day and a goat the next.  McGloin had a notable rise from unheralded free agent to starter mid-season last year.  Yet, this coaching staff seems to give up on players as soon as things don't go their way.  In other words, this coaching staff is full of shit and has no idea what they are doing.  They are flopping around for answers and will try anything to get wins. If it comes down to getting a win or player development, eking out a rare, precious victory will get the nod.

A policy lacking QB development is why they gave up on Terrelle Pryor and why the coaching staff has not been successful except in a handful of games here and there. To me, this coaching staff has shown such inconsistency in their methods it is obvious they are desperate.  There's an old saying, never let them see you sweat (ok, that is from a TV commercial).  It's true. If you are desperate, don't show it.  You look stupid when you are obviously desperate.

So where did these Carr to start rumors come from in the first place? As near as I can tell, an NFL reporter named Albert Breer maintained that the Raiders brass and/or coaching staff held the "belief" Carr could compete for the starting job.  Other writers ran with it

In fact, NFL writer Chris Wesseling put Carr as his number 1 "plug and play" possibility for the upcoming season based on Breer's report. 

1. Derek Carr, QB, Raiders: The team's brass has billed Matt Schaub as a franchise savior on par with AFC West icons Peyton Manning and Philip Rivers. The contract suggests the Raiders can bail on the experiment this season. The film from Schaub's last 20 games shows a rapidly regressing quarterback broken beyond repair. Oakland views Carr as the field general of the future. By Halloween, it should be obvious that he's the best option in the present.  

Are you fucking kidding? What Raiders brass or coach made such a statement that Carr was a franchise savior in the mold of Peyton Manning?  Being compared to Phyllis Rivers is equally as absurd. The kid has yet to take a single NFL snap.  My guess is no Raiders brass or coach made that statement.  It's just too ridiculous, even for the clowns currently inhabiting Raiders HQ.

Everyone already knows Schaub is a few INTs away from the downside of his career. Regardless, you don't cut a QB mid-season after bringing him in allegedly as the savior - and then saying so to the media as if signing Schaub is something for Raiders fans to get stoked about.  Cutting him mid-season makes you look desperate AND stupid.  Though this Raiders brass could very well fit that bill, why show it?  NFL writer Chris Wesseling is just wrong in his assessment.

Instead, we have some clarification from Raiders brass.  Specifically, Joey Clinkscales, Raiders Director of Player Personnel who said Schaub is the starter.  Carr is there to learn.  

At least that is the plan for year one.  If the season falls apart, the Raiders will have a difficult decision to let Carr get some playing time or risk a terrible rookie experience for him.

Monday, May 12, 2014

The Raiders Search for an Offense in '14

Well, the Raiders 2014 draft picks are a pretty good lot.  The first three rounds at least brought in some depth.

Let's look at an area that we always return to if the team is going to truly be in a position to succeed - the offensive line. The OL is a very difficult area to build quality across the board.  Yet, the Raiders have done very minimal reconstruction to get that done over the past 10 years or so.  It seems when they get one piece in place, others slip.  Like other every other NFL team is forced to do, the Raiders have brought in retreads to fill gaps.  The latest of which is at left and right tackle.  This is a big problem.

What would have been ideal in this year's draft is picking up sure bet Jake Mathews at LT.  However, Reggie McKenzie already played his hand in bringing in an unreliable Donald Penn as a LT.  Because of this the smart move was to draft LB Khalil Mack.  Another glaring weakness of the Raiders over the years has been stopping the run. Mack should go a long way to fix that need perfectly.

However, LT Donald Penn is clearly on the downside of his career.  He was consistent early in his career but over time he has become out of shape, less of a maneuverable presence and more of dead weight.  Last year with the Buccaneers, Penn allowed 11 sacks.  That's bad news for the QB's blind side.

At right tackle, Austin Howard will never be known as an ideal run blocker.  Howard's strength is in pass protection, allowing just two sacks in 16 starts last season. Here's the problem with that - the Raiders need a RT who can run block.  Sure, they can put a TE on the end to give him some help but don't you think opponents will know this ahead of time?

These are weaknesses that will hurt the offense.  The strength of the OL is the interior with projected starters Stefen Wisniewski, Kevin Boothe and Tony Bergstrom.  Kevin Boothe started his career a Raider, left to win 2 Super Bowls with the Giants and returns to Oakland a seasoned veteran Guard.  Booth is a smart choice to play as rookie third rounder Gabe Jackson matures.

So who will the OL be protecting?  It's got to be Matt Schaub to start unless he completely sucks monkey balls in preseason and Matt McGloin steals the job.  This could very well happen.  McGloin is a serious competitor and the haters who don't like his height are just flat out wrong as to his potential.

Unfortunately, Reggie and his hire Dennis Allen have continued the Raiders tradition of not developing QBs in house. Let's not forget bringing in Matt Flynn as a band aid - only to discover he was a complete washout Reggie has tried to pass off as an answer at QB.  Then Reggie and the coaching staff also did all they could to run off Terrelle Pryor even though he performed admirably before getting injured.

The drafting of a strong armed but raw Derek Carr could end up helping the team in the long run.  Carr could end up getting some PT this season in fact if the coaching staff sticks with Schaub too long even though he is ineffective. If Schaub played as poorly early in his career as he did last season he would be out of the league, not rewarded with a new opportunity.

The running game too is suspect unless Maurice Jones-Drew shows up to win the job outright.  Darren McFadden has worn out his welcome in Oakland and ideally should have been allowed to walk after last season.  A wildcard at RB is Kory Sheets who tore it up in the CFL last year.

The TE group is solid and should be able to do their share of blocking and recieving.  The adding of James Jones at WR is a great move, one of the few Reggie has made in free agency. Jones will challenge Juron Criner,  Rod Streater and Denarius Moore for playing time.

Overall, Reggie did ok in this year's draft.  He blew it last season, selecting DJ Hayden in the first round.  This year they have some talent to work with.

Saturday, March 22, 2014

The Raiders are Falling on Their Own Sword

If you are into the art of killing yourself slowly then you are an Oakland Raiders fan.  The epic slow motion drama of failure continues.  Another QB named Matt enters the building.  The new Matt (Schaub) has a receding hairline and a lot more career yardage than the old Matt (Flynn)  thanks to having Andre Johnson to throw to in Houston.

Unlike Matt Flynn who sported flashy sunglasses upon his arrival and had just about nothing to show for his career except an end of season 400+ yard game over Detroit,  Matt Schaub is much more humble. Especially now that his starting job in Houston has been usurped by journeyman Ryan Fitzpatrick.  Ouch, traded for a 6th round pick.  Schaub is fresh off a disastrous 2013 season in which even Andre Johnson could not bail him out. 

And Dennis Allen, the genius of a head coach he is, puts the mantle of QB savior squarely on Schaub even before the ink is dry on the contract.  No pressure there Matt.  Hey, we know you can bounce back.  The question is will you?  Unlike Jim Plunkett, you won't get to bide your time on the sidelines awaiting a second chance.  See, Dennis Allen is basically a lame duck.  The NFL takes no prisoners and ol' Dennis can't win more than 4 games in a season.  So if Schaub's woes extend into the 2014 season it wouldn't just be business as usual.  Heads will roll.  They have to and that would include GM Reggie McKenzie along with the latest addition to the master plan - Schaub and his multimillion salary.

Here's the thing - there is no one left to blame. Al is dead. The salary cap money he clogged up by overpaying and taking too many risks on players who did not come through is for the most part overcome.  Reggie has made some decent personnel signings recently but overall he has been far too conservative and ineffective - at least so far.  He doesn't have any margin for error at this stage.  Every player he signs has to live up to their contract.

Reggie is no doubt a terrific guy.  He is a man of upstanding character. However, this is the grand finale we have all been waiting for by letting go of a lot of bad contracts.  Now, we need that dead money replaced with the truckload of dependable talent to re-launch the franchise to respectability.

The last few seasons can be summed up with a few simple truths: Mark Davis is not a football guy.  He's much better at managing the business aspects of an NFL franchise than his father was but he does not know how to build a winning team on the field.  He admitted as much when he sought help from luminaries John Madden and Ron Wolf, resulting in the hiring of Reggie McKenzie as GM.  Unfortunately, as good a man as Reggie is personally, he has been entirely lackluster in his managing of roster moves in addition to making a bad head coaching hire.  The team needed a veteran head coach and we got a rookie head coach who has been stumbling and bumbling, groping around for solutions but coming up empty. Who knows what else has gone wrong that we are not seeing.  The scouting is either terrible beyond compare or they are not pulling the trigger where they need to. 

Let's not get into salary cap woes and the like.  The money is there to find players.  For all their complaining they had to make due with Al's players, they have done very little to patch those holes.  The fact is at this rate of acquiring talent they will not be able to climb out of the AFC West basement.  Let's also not point to long range plans because that is always an excuse.  The Chiefs rebuilt in a single season.  There are countless other examples.  Reggie does not seem up to the task.  Mark Davis wouldn't know who to hire if not for Madden and Wolf's advice.

I am not holding my breath draft picks will change anything this upcoming season.

If 2014 collapses on the field, it is time to fold up the tent.  Seriously, Oakland Raiders fans - you are not getting a new stadium.  Oakland is a sewer.  No one will invest in anything there nor would they want to invest a billion in a franchise that sucks so bad.

The best that can be accomplished is to sell the franchise.  Someone will relocate operations, blow it up and rebuild the right way.  What is happening now is a travesty.  The franchise should be handed off to investors who know what they are doing.

Sunday, December 1, 2013

Raiders @ Jets - A Winnable Game for Oakland?

Jets versus Raiders is always an entertaining matchup.  These two teams on opposite coasts have historically managed to thrill us with great games since the AFL era.

Even though the Raiders don't have much to play for except their own jobs, they will arrive in New York (or New Jersey if you prefer) with an excellent opportunity for a win this Sunday.  The Jets most definitely have their jobs to play for. Rex Ryan's job is on the line.  He may be gone regardless with a new GM looking over his shoulder unimpressed with the team generating a total of six points total over the last two games.

The Jets have QB issues to deal with.  It is hard to figure how the Jets have managed to defeat two of the best teams in the NFL this season - New England and New Orleans. It just goes to show that anything can happen under the right conditions. Still, the reality is Geno Smith is not getting it done so either Matt Simms will get the call or veteran David Garrard will have to show what he has left.

If Matt McGloin starts at QB for Oakland then this will be his opportunity to nail down the job for the remainder of the season.  Even with Pryor's injury, McGloin has to continue to earn the job, not just because he is last man standing.

Both teams have aggressive defenses but the Raiders have shown an ability to make big plays, even with a few close contests, they have done some good things on defense.  The Jets haven't done that of late.  That doesn't mean they won't come alive.  The Jets are fully aware they really need to bounce back. You have to believe the Jets will play inspired football in their home stadium.  If this was on the road it might be different but Jets fans are brutal and will be on their back with every bad play.  Raiders fans are known to unleash the boos but New York fans are a lot more harsh.  They don't hold back.  I just can't see the Jets folding up and letting themselves be embarrassed.  This will be a close game.

It's been a while since I called it last time.  I'm calling it again.  Oakland will win it's fifth game of the season this Sunday.

Wednesday, September 4, 2013

The Raiders are Going Every Which Way at QB

I read a scathing article written by Lowell Cohn of the Santa Rosa Press Democrat newspaper .  All of Cohn's articles on the Raiders are scathing but this one caught my attention because he criticized the franchise's inability to develop Tyler Wilson.

Let's be fair.  The Raiders have never developed their QBs.  Not even Ken Stabler was a product of great coaching while with the Raiders. He benefited from a few years on the bench learning from George Blanda

In the case of Tyler Wilson, everyone had high hopes.  Yet, if we look at this realistically, it is only fairly recently a fourth round draft pick is expected to shine in his first camp.  It used to be expected that mid to lower round draft picks would be lucky to make the team for whatever reasons. If they did, they would be backups and work their way into playing time. Nowadays the Raiders are so depleted of talent, the thinking is every draft pick has to be a home run.

Wilson did not have a productive training camp and was beaten out for third string by undrafted Matt McGloin of Penn State.  McGloin is a welcome surprise and may in fact end up the starter by season's end. Wilson went unclaimed in waivers and is hanging by a thread on the Raiders practice squad right now.

First of all, you don't "develop" a QB in one training camp.  If the guy is expected to make the most of every snap as a third or fourth stringer then you are putting too much pressure on the guy and the pressure is unwarranted.  The second criticism Cohn makes is the reason Wilson did not make the 53-man roster is he was a slow learner (whatever sources Cohn has assigned that label to Wilson).  Cohn does make a good point that the Raiders should have evaluated his football IQ before the draft.  I think Reggie wanted Matt Barkely and when he was gone, they just grabbed the next best QB on the board which happened to be Wilson.  They obviously did not do their homework with him well enough.

Of the many holes to fill this past off-season, the Raiders did not seem to know what to do at QB.  It was obvious they did not like Terrelle Pryor. In three seasons, Terrell Pryor has gotten next to no help from the coaching staff to get where he is at today. He hired his own QB coaches and his own trainers in the off-season.

Unfortunately, Pryor is only an interim solution.  It is likely NFL defenses will key on his running ability and allow him to throw downfield and make mistakes.  Pryor's accuracy is questionable on his best day so he will have to prove he can handle that aspect to his game. Pryor is a read-option QB so he will also have to prove his durability by taking some hits.

In today's NFL, does the coaching staff take an active role in "developing" their young talent or do they just expect them to hit the ground running all the way down to film study and workout habits?  This is partially what led to the failure of Jamarcus Russell - though not even the very best of coaching could have salvaged him.  The fact remains, if you don't take an active role in nurturing your talent, they will fail.

The current QB coach is John DeFilippo who has been around and was actually on the coaching staff during the Jamarcus Russell debacle.  DeFillipo is not going to make a difference on a coaching staff no matter what angle is played. He is a non-factor.  So why is he there?  Well, there is no premium placed on developing QBs in the Raiders franchise.  It's that simple.  Reggie McKenzie and his flunky Dennis Allen made no change in this Raiders tradition.

Think back to the wasted talent of Andrew Walter. He came in and did pretty well at first but as the years went by, he languished behind the erratic play of Kerry Collins AND Marques Tuiasosopo.  Tui was a fan favorite until he got significant playing time.  Then he looked horrible, deflating the Tui myth. Yes, Tui did suck badly but you all thought he would be good, didn't you?  How could he have been good if no one coached him to be good as a pro?

We all thought Andrew Walter would be good too when he got his chance.  Well, he bombed out and when claimed off waivers, the Patriots coaching staff was astonished.  They could not understand how a gifted young QB could have regressed so badly in his years in Oakland.

Matt Flynn is certainly not the first high profile QB acquisition to fleece the Raiders. I think he was worth taking a chance on but not for 30 something million.  Are you serious Reggie?  I guess you are. Flynn is a big risk to rely on as your number one guy, especially so when your OL is in shambles.  Flynn is not a mobile QB but what makes him a viable option to Reggie is he is from Green Bay and everything from Green Bay must be salvageable because Reggie is familiar with it.  Right? Isn't that your logic Reg?

What is disturbing is the Raiders OL is in shambles trend has been in effect for a while. At times over the last 12+ years it has come together but not with any consistency. Actually the curse has been in effect ever since Barret Robbins wigged out on the eve of the Super Bowl.  The idiot chose that particular time to allow his mental illness to disrupt the team - and its legacy.  The O-line has never been the same since that fabled day.

Not that Robbins is the sole reason the Raiders lost so badly in that SB but he deserves to spend his life living under a bridge as punishment.

Sunday, September 1, 2013

Another Memo to Mark Davis: The Fat Lady is Singing

I know everyone is tried of hearing my criticism of the Raiders.  I'm tired of writing it so I have resisted posting for a while.  I can't believe how my faith went from relief upon the transfer of GM power to Reggie McKenzie to almost zero over the last year or more.  The Raiders have ceased to be a franchise in my view.

The cap situation and bad contracts bequeathed by Al is all understood. I just don't think ol' Reg has done a good job at all in creating a roster that can compete.  I don't think the guy has brought in the necessary talent to compete.  I wish he did but he hasn't.  I find it hard to believe a guy with his experience in a front office has failed that badly.  I have absolutely no faith at all the Raiders will win more than 4 or maybe 5 games (again) in the 2013 season.  That may even be overestimating. Watch how many more games the Chiefs will win this year after being the very worst last year.

The Raiders have a shitty head coach, a less than impressive coaching staff, a sub-par roster on all fronts.  I think Reggie bit off more than he can chew. Mark Davis needs to capitulate the franchise, sell and have the new owners move to a better market, away from the ass dumper of Oakland, away from this horrendous embarrassing display.

If I eat my words, great. I just think the Raiders have regressed below expansion team status into non-existence.  There's no where else for them to go.

Saturday, July 27, 2013

The Raiders' New Stadium Hopes are Twisting in the Wind

The Oakland Raiders and San Diego Chargers have more in common than fans want to believe.

1) Both teams play in the oldest stadiums in the entire NFL.  Oakland Coliseum was built in 1966.  San Diego's stadium in 1967.

2) Al Davis coached both teams at some point in his career. In fact, if it was not for the LA Chargers, Al Davis would never have had an opportunity to become involved in the Oakland AFL franchise at all.

3) Both teams desperately need a new stadium built and are unlikely to get funding to do so.

The key difference in point number 3 is Chargers owner, Dean Spanos, could fund a new stadium if he wanted to but he won't.

The numbers simply do not add up in favor of a new stadium being built in Oakland or anywhere in the Bay Area. A new stadium is estimated to be in the 800 million to 1 billion range. Public taxes are not a solution. In the case of Oakland, the City, the County and the Raiders franchise are collectively STILL at least 100 million in the hole for stadium renovations made when the Raiders returned from LA.

The Raiders also suffer from a severe lack of corporate interest and sponsorship. You fill a lot of premium seating with corporate interest. The Raiders are simply not an attractive business investment for a number of reasons.

Like the demise of Al Davis himself, it is a slow burn for the Oakland Raiders franchise.

Mark Davis has offered to pony up 300 million into the project.  That is quite a hefty figure but it will not be enough even if the NFL kicks in another 200 million as they seem to do for other NFL franchise stadium projects. The hitch is the City of Oakland, County of Alameda have no such financing available to pick up their end nor can they get close to anything resembling it. Nor would they allocate that money towards professional sports even if they had it to give. The reality is law enforcement needs that money if it ever materializes. Oakland is continually battered by idiots rioting and protesting, destroying their neighborhoods and local businesses when they are not busy robbing and murdering.

Look around you, the economics are impossible and no one with deep pockets cares enough about the Raiders to bail them out. There will be no new stadium in Oakland because it is a losing venture. That is the reality.

If you want to compare the Raiders to the 49ers situation, the 49ers have generated more than $400 million from the purchase of seat licenses for their $1.3 billion, 68,500-seat stadium in Santa Clara.  Do you really think the Raiders can equal that figure in seat licenses?  They can't.  Remember that experiment backfired when they moved back from LA.

Now, the only real option for the Raiders is to move back to SoCal.  That is if:

a) A stadium even gets built there.  A SoCal stadium is not a done deal. Farmer's Field is still just a vision. The location near Dodgers Stadium is even further from a reality. Not to say a stadium in SoCal won't happen.  Anything is possible but as of now, nothing is happening.

b) Does SoCal even want the Raiders back? Remember, Al Davis left a bitter legacy in dealing with city and county officials. Whatever the problems and whoever is at fault, the mess is not cleaned up.  Money is owed, corruption and finger pointing and bad politics dwarfs the prospect of any reasonable solution. Just because Al is deceased does not mean all is forgiven.

c) Would the NFL allow the Raiders to re-locate? It's not up to the franchise. Remember, Al Davis left an even more bitter legacy when he shoved his middle finger in the face of the NFL by moving to LA and then suing the league for 1 billion (then Al's lawsuit was laughed at and thrown out of court). There's an old saying, don't shit where you eat. Al thought he was above it all and genuinely believed he could beat whatever odds he faced to make the Raiders great. Just about all of his beliefs turned out to be untrue and now his son Mark is operating at a disadvantage to salvage the Raiders integrity and the franchise itself.

My feeling is the NFL league office is going to watch as the Raiders get backed into a corner they can't get out of and then force Mark Davis to sell. Roger Goodell the statesman is very good at blowing smoke but the larger plan he has in mind is to let the Raiders flap in the wind.  The league owes the Raiders nothing and just because they are a team with lots of history does not mean they have a leg to stand on. They are one of the lowest valued teams in the NFL financially.

Unless a super savior emerges to fund a new stadium where the old one currently exists or the City of Oakland and County of Alameda pulls a rabbit out of their ass, the best outcome would be the Chargers and Raiders sharing a stadium in SoCal. Stranger things have happened.